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WCA & Mo Cup Prognostics

Published Mon Aug 15, 2016 by Ugrilainen
17 comments posted. Log in to write a comment!

I do not intend to produce an article per day... if only there were less awesome stuff to talk about !

Lyn 9-0 China

Oops he did it again. Korea won day 7 again to conclude the clan war, Lyn bringing 3 more points beating  Th000 (again),  Life (again) and  Infi (again again). Lyn arrived quite determined to the stage and was more than intimidating tbh.

Who wants to be next?

WCA Europe - No surprise in Group D

I wish there were some more suspense in these Euro qualifiers. Some are pointing  Wan as a surprise eliminating  Rudan, but Rudan does not play much anymore... or else not when I am watching.

I watched  Arabrams play against  Foggy and saw everyone being completely confused by his dual crypts + expo strategy on EI. Let me explain that to you because I do the same on Netease. I know my opponent is stronger hence some usual strategy will not work! He knows how to counter those and his micro is 10x better than mine. I myself do Dreadlord expo, or Tinker necrowagon : come Arabrams I will show you!

Anyway another full 2-0 group. At least there is no question about  Foggy dominating group D. It will be very hard not to see WarchiefRich and Foggy being the last two men standing. I feel like Hawk, Sonik, Orcw0rker and Yaws will have a hard time catching up with them. They may fight for 3rd place (still 3,000$ to earn if bank transfers allow...). I hope they will prove me wrong!

For  Cechi and  Wan, it will be difficult to avoid 7th and 8th places. There is one more step between them and the ones above I think.  Anyway, here is my prognostic :

You can discuss those in the comments. I may be over enthusiastic with Orcw0rker beating Yaws and Hawk but I see him playing often on Netease. When he does not over-commit, he is capable of beating many top Chinese players. And maybe his opponents will not train the Orc mu too much.

I feel like WarchiefRich can beat Foggy in the winner finals. And Foggy is capable of remembering why he lost and adapting (may I remind you about Lyn anyone?).

Good luck to all players!

Mo Cup : August 18th - 28th

I did not know much about Mo Cup before I met two of their admins at PGL Wuhan. The groups have been drawn and this is going to be awesome!

  • Group A :  Fov will be 4th and probably 0-0-3. He is just coming back but how cool it is to see him back in a real event like that! He supplies for  120 who cancelled. I heard Remo saying he favors other games now. That is very sad... Moon will be 1st, he is in a good shape, despite a recent defeat against ZDR in GCS (2-3 overall). Moon will beat Check and  Focus, while  Check will beat  Focus? It will be close between those two for 2nd place, they might need a tie break.

  • Group B : this one is my favorite! The only one I feel where anything can happen. One Tier 1 player ( Yumiko) having disappointing results recently, with 3 top tier 2 players with different profiles.  Remind is an oldschool coming back, Life a rising star and ZDR a young promising player that is capable of anything. I want to believe in Yumiko in this one, he favors group formats more than elimination brackets. I feel like ZDR will go through too, he is very strong against night elves. He has beaten Moon last week during GCS and qualified for the fall season. Remind results during China vs Korea were quite good in solo, I see him taking 3rd place, he has just beaten Life 2-0 in Beijing. Yumiko will take 2nd place in a group with many draws.

  • Group C : Lucifer told me in Shanghai that he was comfortable against Chinese Humans. Since then he draws them all the time, playing pretty well, but in sort of death groups like this one. Romantic will play Infi soon to qualify for WCA. He had beaten Th000 to reach that point. But since then he is very discreet and does not qualify to anything else (not to ROBAM, not to GCS...). I favor  TH000 and Lawliet as everything seems to point out. Th000 know how to beat Lawliet (3-0 during WCA China vs Korea), Th000 should end up 1st, Lawliet 2nd then Lucifer 3rd.

  • Group D : Ok if you have reached this point of the article, you know why I think  Lyn will end up 1st. Infi should be the obvious 2nd. He will probably be as I do not think WFZ and Sok can beat him, even hurt. WFZ just qualified for GCS eliminating Foggy so he is getting back in shape. Maybe he can do it? I think Sok will end up 4th.

To know more about Mo Cup, check Liquipedia

These are Ugri's prognostics. They are just my opinion : debatable articles are more interesting for me to write than factual ones..


Comment #1Mon Aug 15, 2016 17:59 pm
when are the EU playoffs scheduled for? thx
Comment #2Mon Aug 15, 2016 18:07 pm
Starts tomorrow. Time and dates of events can always be found on reddit in the calendar widget:
Comment #3Mon Aug 15, 2016 18:09 pm
thank you @Ugrilainen
Comment #4Mon Aug 15, 2016 21:37 pm
Is 120 quitting wc3? nooo
Comment #5Tue Aug 16, 2016 00:26 am
Foggy and Sonik to China. HawK, WCR or YawS for 3rd. MOCup: Moon, Focus; ZDR, ReMinD; LawLiet, TH; Lyn, WFZ
Comment #6Tue Aug 16, 2016 01:57 am
#4 no but he is not 100% commiting and play only major events which is not enough to stay in shape. #5 are you ukrainian? :)
Comment #7Tue Aug 16, 2016 03:01 am
well sonik is in good shape i think he will take winnerbracket final vs rich
Comment #8Tue Aug 16, 2016 05:10 am
why 120 left explain me plaese :( im so sad
Comment #9Tue Aug 16, 2016 05:10 am
why 120 left explain me plaese :( im so sad
Comment #10Tue Aug 16, 2016 07:52 am
120 refuses -> no uds in playoff
Comment #11Tue Aug 16, 2016 11:59 am
Because he most likely has a Hearthstone event and prize pool is too low to his standards (my guess)
Comment #12Tue Aug 16, 2016 20:53 pm
Lawliet will definitely rule group C. Imo Romantic may takes a map vs TH but will be destroyed by Lucifer. Luci 1 - 1 Th00 as well So here are my bets : Lawliet 9 points (6 - 0) Lucifer 4 points (3 - 3) TH000 2 points (2 - 4) Romantic 1 point (1 - 5)
Comment #13Wed Aug 17, 2016 05:30 am
Yaws scared to play vs Foggy again? :D
Comment #14Mon Aug 22, 2016 10:15 am
Fov is weak.He still play gargs ve elf but it is a fact that he is doubtfull of how to play.Focus is out of shape.Moon is still avarege top class elf but nothing more.Check is getting back in shape.Life is something new to the scene but Im still not impress with his performance.I havent seen Yumiko from a long time.Remind and Th000 are improving themselves.Infi, sok and lawliet a little out of shape.Lyn do not need commentaries :D :D
Comment #15Mon Aug 22, 2016 10:25 am
I forgot to mention 120.Im a big fan of Undead race(as u can see in my name) and I have great dream for 120 but he is overconfident at the age of 19!!! omg .........Yeah, his micro is awesome, but micro is not everything in this game
Comment #16Fri Aug 26, 2016 15:24 pm
lyn did the impossible, took all the wins in 2v2 with check and besides that 9-0'd china holy shit that sounds unreal that is actually way more harder than winning the wca
Comment #17Fri Aug 26, 2016 15:38 pm
about Mo cup I would say winner will be from group D, infi or lyn

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